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Ciglenica
Neighbourhood profileTrešnjevka – sjever
Neighbourhood profile for Ciglenica (Trešnjevka – sjever) — the district's lowest-ranked neighbourhood on vulnerability, with the lowest elderly share, though facility data is missing rather than confirming low need.
Updated 2026-09-08
District-wide fields (position, terrain, bicycle infrastructure, socio-economic overview) are in district overview — not repeated here.
In plain terms
Of all ten neighbourhoods in this district, this one ranks lowest on vulnerability — it has the district’s lowest elderly share, and two independent scoring approaches both agree it’s comparatively lower-risk. That said, it’s outside the city’s official priority list, so its facility and water-access data is simply missing, not confirmed zero — and it still carries a real tree-canopy shortfall and a daytime heat-hotspot flag. “Lowest in this district” means lowest among nine genuinely high-vulnerability neighbours, not evidence of no risk at all.
1. Geography
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Area | 0.71 km² |
| Position in the city | Trešnjevka – sjever |
2. Demographics
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Population | 4,573 |
| Sex | 2,095 male · 2,478 female |
| Age breakdown | 649 aged 0–14 · 3,195 aged 15–64 · 729 aged 65+ |
| Share aged 0–14 | 14.2% — highest among the three neighbourhoods outside the priority list |
| Share aged 65+ | 15.9% — the lowest in the district |
| Chronically ill residents | Not tracked anywhere in the data |
| Education level | District-wide only — see Trešnjevka – sjever district overview |
| Density | 6,441 people/km² |
3. Urban form and greenery
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Kindergartens, schools, health facilities, fountains | Not available — this is one of three neighbourhoods in the district outside the city’s official facility/refuge dataset, which only covers its 32-neighbourhood priority shortlist |
| Greenness (NDVI) | 0.30, right at the district average |
| Canopy shortfall | The largest among the three neighbourhoods outside the priority list — an estimated 841 hectares needed to fully offset local heat (3,716 ha for a more ambitious target); closing the realistic gap would cool the area by roughly 2.2 °C |
| Site-level field observations | None recorded for this specific neighbourhood — see district overview for the two ground-level studies that exist elsewhere in the district |
4. Heat (UHI data)
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| District heat intensity | +8.98 °C (district-wide figure, see overview) |
| Heatwave days (2025) | 7 |
| Official heat-risk zone | Not mapped by the city’s specific heat-risk workbook — this means it wasn’t assessed by that particular study, not that it’s risk-free |
| Night-time temperature | 20.24 °C — among the coolest nights in the district |
| Modelled daytime air temperature | 27.44 °C |
| Hotspot classification | Flagged as hot by the surface-temperature measure, but not by the air-temperature measure |
5. How vulnerable is this neighbourhood?
| Measure | Value |
|---|---|
| Main vulnerability score | 0.48 — ranks #68 of 218, the lowest rank of any neighbourhood in this district |
| Second vulnerability score (independent model) | Also rates this “stable” rather than a hotspot — one of only two neighbourhoods in the district to get that label, agreeing with the main score |
| Daytime elderly-heat exposure | The lowest of any neighbourhood in the district |
| Night-time elderly-heat exposure | Also the lowest in the district — not because its nights are unusually cool, but because its low elderly share pulls the combined score down |
| On the city’s official priority shortlist? | No |
| What’s stacking up here | ❌ Lowest elderly share in the district ❌ Both scoring models agree this is comparatively lower-priority ✅ Still carries a real tree-canopy shortfall and a daytime heat-hotspot flag ❌ Facility and water access are genuinely unknown, not confirmed zero |
Bottom line: the one neighbourhood in this district where both scoring approaches agree on comparatively lower priority, driven mainly by its low elderly share. It still has a real vegetation gap and a confirmed daytime heat problem — this is “least urgent in a genuinely high-risk district,” not “no problem here.”
6. Citizen survey signal (2026, wave 1)
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Survey respondents from this MO | 48 |
| Self-reported heat-burden index | 2.99/4 — ranks #7 of the district’s 10 profiled MOs |
| Survey vulnerability score | 0.26 (0–1 scale) — ranks #3 of the 10 |
| Mean support for the 28 proposed interventions | 4.61/5 |
| Self-reported working-AC ownership | 83% |
A genuine divergence: HVI rank 68/218 (lowest of the ten, and outside the priority shortlist) but survey vulnerability ranks 3rd-highest of the ten MOs — the official model and the survey disagree here more than anywhere else in the district.
Data notes
- Night-time elderly-exposure figure comes from a GitHub-repository dataset not yet included in the published MO master table — see district overview’s Data notes.
- Citizen survey figures (respondents, self-reported burden, vulnerability, policy support, AC ownership) come from UHI citizen survey — results & key findings (2026, wave 1) (notes) (Citizen survey data), n=48 for this MO (updated 2026-09-08, up from 42 in the first snapshot) — above the n≥5 floor used across published profiles for MO-level survey figures.
- Full column-by-column sourcing: Neighbourhood profile template.